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Mann ,
Michael
Research Interests

Assistant Professor; Ph.D. Yale University. 1998.

Climatology paleoclimatology, statistical climatology, climate change detection, climate modeling.

353 Clark Hall
(434) 924-7770
mem6u@virginia.edu

My research interests involve both empirical and theoretical investigation of the climate system and its variability. These investigations seek to describe, understand, and predict variations in the climate system, and in the intricate network of related subsystems of the environment (the ocean and atmosphere, as well as the cryosphere and terrestrial and marine biosphere), which interact, in complex ways, to govern that system. Empirical approaches involve the assimilation and analysis of observational data--instrumental and proxy climate information--from which we can diagnose and better understand and predict variations in the system. Theoretical approaches employ models of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system which embrace our fundamental understanding of fluid dynamics to study mechanisms underlying climate variability and change.

Specific current projects involve the reconstruction of climate fields during past centuries from "proxy" climate data, the investigation of modes of natural variability in observed and model-simulated climate fields, simplified approaches to modeling the climate system, long-range climate forecasting, and the identification and assessment of anthropogenic climate change. Each of these projects underlies a broader mission to determine, and better understand natural and anthropogenic sources of variations in the complex climate system.

Homepage : http://holocene.evsc.virginia.edu/Mann/index.html


Selected Recent Publications

Mann, M.E. 2001. Large-scale temperature patterns in past centuries: Implications for North American climate change. Human and Ecological Risk Assessment 7:1247-1254.

Mann, M.E. 2001. Little ice age. In Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change, ed. M.C. MacCracken and J.S. Perry. London: John Wiley and Sons Ltd.

Mann, M.E. 2001. Medieval climatic optimum. In Encyclopedia of Global Environmental Change, ed. M.C. MacCracken and J.S. Perry. London: John Wiley and Sons Ltd.

Mann, M.E., R.S. Bradley, K. Briffa, J. Cole, M.K. Hughes, J.M. Jones, J.T. Overpeck, H. von Storch, H. Wanner, S.L. Weber, and M. Widmann. 2001. Reconstructing the Climate of the Late Holocene. Eos 82:553.

Bradley, R.S., K.R. Briffa, T.J. Crowley, M.K. Hughes, P.D. Jones, and M.E. Mann. 2001. Scope of medieval warming. Science 292:2011-2012.

Cullen, H., R. D'Arrigo, E. Cook, and M.E. Mann. 2001. Multiproxy-based reconstructions of the North Atlantic Oscillation over the past three centuries. Paleoceanography 15:27-39.

Folland, C.K., T.R. Karl, J.R. Christy, R.A. Clarke, G.V. Gruza, J. Jouzel, M.E. Mann, J. Oerlemans, M.J. Salinger, and S.-W. Wang. 2001. Observed climate variability and change. Pp 99-181 in Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis, ed. J.T. Houghton, et al. Cambridge Univ. Press: Cambridge.

Shindell, D.T., G.A. Schmidt, M.E. Mann, D. Rind, and A. Waple. 2001. Solar forcing of regional climate change during the Maunder Minimum. Science 294:2149-2152.

Mann, M.E. 2000. Lessons for a new millennium. Science 289:253-254.

Bradley, R.S., M.K. Hughes, and M.E. Mann. 2000. Comments on "Detection and Attribution of Recent Climate Change: A Status Report". Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 81, 2987-2990.

Delworth, T.L., and M.E. Mann. 2000. Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere. Climate Dynamics 16:661-676.

Mann, M.E., R.S. Bradley, and M.K. Hughes. 2000. Long-term variability in the El Nino southern oscillation and associated teleconnections. Pages 321-372 in H.F. Diaz and V. Markgraf, eds., El Nino and the Southern Oscillation: Multiscale Variability and its Impacts on Natural Ecosystems and Society. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK.

Mann, M.E., E. Gille, R.S. Bradley, M.K. Hughes, J.T. Overpeck, F.T. Keimig, and W. Gross. 2000. Global temperature patterns in past centuries: An interactive presentation. Earth Interactions 4-4:1-29 .

Park, J., and M.E. Mann. 2000. Interannual temperature events and shifts in global temperature: A multiple wavelet correlation approach. Earth Interactions 4-1, 1-53.

Rittenour, T., J. Brigham-Grette, and M.E. Mann. 2000. El Niņo-like climate teleconnections in North America during the late Pleistocene: Insights from a New England glacial varve chronology. Science 288:1039-1042.

Jain, S., U. Lall, M.E. Mann. 1999. Seasonality and interannual variations of northern hemisphere temperature: Equator-to-pole gradient and land-ocean contrast. Journal of Climate 12:1086-1100.

Mann, M.E., R.S. Bradley, and M.K. Hughes. 1999. Northern hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: Inferences, uncertainties, and limitations, Geophysical Research Letters 26:759-762.

Mann, M.E., and J. Park. 1999. Oscillatory spatiotemporal signal detection in climate studies: A multiple-taper spectral domain approach. Advances in Geophysics 41:1-131.

Mann, M.E., R.S. Bradley, and M.K. Hughes. 1999. Northern Hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium: Inferences, Uncertainties, and Limitations. Geophysical Research Letters, 26, 759-762.

Mann, M.E., and J. Park. 1999. Oscillatory spatiotemporal signal detection in climate studies: A multiple-taper spectal domain approach. Advances in Geophysics, in press.

Mann, M.E., R.S. Bradley, and M.K. Hughes. 1999. Long-term variability in the El Nino southern oscillation and associated teleconnections, Diaz, H.F. and Markgraf, V. (eds) El Nino and the southern oscillation: multiscale variability and its impacts on natural ecosystems and society. Cambridge University Press, 321-372, Cambridge, UK, in press.

Rajagopalan, B., M.E. Mann, and U. Lall. 1998. A multivariate frequency-domain approach to long-lead climatic forecasting. Weather and Forecasting 13, 58-74.

Mann, M.E., R.S. Bradley, and M.K. Hughes. 1998. Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries. Nature, 392, 779-787.


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